GBP/USD
drops to 1.3210 while heading into the London open on Thursday. The pair
recently took a U-turn from two-week high amid thin trading conditions, hard
Brexit fears, etc.
Following
fears of a likely harsh action by the European Union (EU), if the UK PM holds
his head high during the Brexit negotiations, the Financial Times (FT) came out
with the economist poll indicating such an outcome will weigh on the UK GDP.
With this, traders’ year-end stop-losses might have triggered amid the light
trading session comprising year-end holidays.
It
should also be noted that the market’s risk tone has been positive amid
increasing optimism surrounding the US-China trade relations. Even so, the US
dollar (USD) recovers at the start of 2020. As a result, the US 10-year
treasury yields and stocks are mildly positive.
While
holidays in Japan and New Zealand will keep the market’s liquidity in
constrain, the trade/Brexit headlines can keep the driver’s seat. Additionally,
December month Manufacturing PMI data from the US and the UK will also be the
key to follow.
Even
if no major change is expected from the UK/US data, a downbeat figure versus
47.4 prior and 47.6 expected could keep up the odds of further rate cuts from
the Bank of England (BOE).
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