Please disable Ad Blocker before you can visit the website !!!


by SignalFactory   ·  January 24, 2022 | 11:28:57 UTC  


by SignalFactory   ·  January 24, 2022 | 11:28:57 UTC  

After a poor showing on the services front since late October last year due to COVID-19 restrictions around the Omicron variant, PMI’s have extended their decline across the board. Both manufacturing and services have come short reflecting the knock-on effect from Omicron and its associated restrictive measures. This being said, a print above 50 keeps both sectors in expansionary territory.

The pound has been grappling with many moving parts of recent including:

  1. Geopolitical tensions – The Russia-Ukraine spat has left investors erring on the side of caution in terms of risk sentiment leaving a tough road ahead for GBP bulls.
  2. Partygate – Ethics Chief Sue Gray who has been tasked with the official inquiry into the alleged protocol break by Boris Johnson, is rumored to have received what the media label “extremely damning” evidence according to sources. Another potential headwind for the pound depends on consequent actions by Mr. Johnson.
  3. BOE interest rate decision – Upcoming UK economic data this week (including today’s PMI) is unlikely to sway market expectations around next week’s rate hike; roughly 87% priced in.
  4. Brexit – Freight woes post-Brexit have shown trade statistics from major ports decline by 30% however, trade talks between India and the UK may be a shining light for the pound.
  5. FOMC – The Federal Reserve rates decision later this week stands out on the economic calendar with many analysts expecting a hawkish disappointment should the QE program be concluded, which may dampen rate hike expectations and weaken the U.S. dollar.

*The Goldman Sachs economists led by Jan Hatzius said in a weekend report to clients that they currently expect rates to be increased in March, June, September, and December and for the central bank to announce the start of a balance sheet reduction in July.

But they said inflation pressures mean that the ‘risks are tilted somewhat to the upside of our baseline.’

‘We see a risk that the FOMC will want to take some tightening action at every meeting until that picture changes,’ the Goldman Sachs economists said.

This raises the possibility of a hike or an earlier balance sheet announcement in May and of more than four hikes this year.

The Goldman Sachs economists said if the Fed did decide to be more aggressive, it would likely hike by 25 basis points at consecutive meetings rather than by 50 basis points.

GBP/USD Short (Sell)
Enter at: 1.3358
T.P_1: 1.3201
T.P_2: 1.2858
T.P_3: 1.2689
T.P_4: 1.2356
T.P_5: 1.2128
S.L: 1.4082

All information on this website is of a general nature. The information is not adapted to conditions that are specific to your person or entity. The information provided can not be considered as personal, professional or legal advice or investment advice to the user. This website and all information is intended for educational purposes only and does not give financial advice. Signal Factory is not a service to provide legal and financial advice; any information provided here is only the personal opinion of the author (not advice or financial advice in any sense, and in the sense of any act, ordinance or law of any country) and must not be used for financial activities. Signal Factory does not offer, operate or provide financial, brokerage, commercial or investment services and is not a financial advisor. Rather, Signal Factory is an educational site and a platform for exchanging Forex information. Whenever information is disclosed, whether express or implied, about profit or revenue, it is not a guarantee. No method or trading system ensures that it will generate a profit, so always remember that trade can lead to a loss. Trading responsibility, whether resulting in profits or losses, is yours and you must agree not to hold Signal Factory or other information providers that are responsible in any way whatsoever. The use of the system means that the user accepts Disclaimer and Terms of Use. Signal Factory is not represented as a registered investment consultant or brokerage dealer nor offers to buy or sell any of the financial instruments mentioned in the service offered. While Signal Factory believes that the content provided is accurate, there are no explicit or implied warranties of accuracy. The information provided is believed to be reliable; Signal Factory does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information provided. Third parties refer to Signal Factory to provide technology and information if a third party fails, and then there is a risk that the information may be delayed or not delivered at all. All information and comments contained on this website, including but not limited to, opinions, analyzes, news, prices, research, and general, do not constitute investment advice or an invitation to buy or sell any type of instrument. Signal Factory assumes no responsibility for any loss or damage that may result, directly or indirectly, from the use or dependence on such information. All information contained on this web site is a personal opinion or belief of the author. None of these data is a recommendation or financial advice in any sense, also within the meaning of any commercial act or law. Writers, publishers and affiliates of Signal Factory are not responsible for your trading in any way. The information and opinions contained in the site are provided for information only and for educational reasons, should never be considered as direct or indirect advice to open a trading account and / or invest money in Forex trading with any Forex company . Signal Factory assumes no responsibility for any decisions taken by the user to create a merchant account with any of the brokers listed on this website. Anyone who decides to set up a merchant account or use the services, free of charge or paid, to any of the Forex companies mentioned on this website, bears full responsibility for their actions. Any institution that offers a service and is listed on this website, including forex brokers, financial companies and other institutions, is present only for informational purposes. All ratings, ratings, banners, reviews, or other information found for any of the above-mentioned institutions are provided in a strictly objective manner and according to the best possible reflection of the materials on the official website of the company. Forex trading is potentially high risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The high level of leverage can work both for and against merchants. Before each Forex investment, you should carefully consider your goals, past experience and risk level. The opinions and data contained on this site should not be considered as suggestions or advice for the sale or purchase of currency or other instruments. Past results do not show or guarantee future results. Neither Signal Factory nor its affiliates ensure the accuracy of the content provided on this Site. You explicitly agree that viewing, visiting or using this website is at your own risk.

Signal Factory is now on Telegram

make sure to join our Telegram channel now and you will not miss any update